SWOT analysis: from four boxes to decisions you can act on

Written by the IdeaHone Editorial Team · · 5 min read

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Most SWOT analyses end the same way: four boxes on a slide, each with six bullet points, and nothing changes afterwards. "Strong brand", "limited resources", "digitalisation", "competition". Everything in it is true and none of it helps anyone decide. That is not the tool's fault. SWOT came out of business policy work in the 1960s as a way to prepare a decision, and somewhere along the way the decision got lost. This guide brings it back.

What the four boxes mean

SWOT sorts what you know along two lines. Inside or outside: is it something about you, which you can change, or something in your market, which you can only use or prepare for? Helpful or harmful: does it make the plan more likely to work, or less?

  • Strengths: inside, helpful. What you do better than the alternatives, or have that others do not.
  • Weaknesses: inside, harmful. Where you are behind, or what you lack for this plan.
  • Opportunities: outside, helpful. Changes in customers, rules, technology or competitors you could use.
  • Threats: outside, harmful. The same kinds of change, working against you.

The line between inside and outside is the one teams blur most. "A new competitor" is a threat. "We react slowly to competitors" is a weakness. The difference matters, because one you can fix and the other you can only prepare for.

Running a SWOT in 60 minutes

  1. Name the decision first. "Should we roll out the refill station to all 12 stores next year?" A SWOT without a question collects everything; a SWOT for one decision collects what matters to it.
  2. Write alone for ten minutes. Everyone writes points for all four boxes, one per note. Writing alone keeps the loudest view from setting the frame.
  3. Make every point specific. "Strong brand" becomes "regulars name us first when asked where to buy organic". If you cannot make it specific, it is probably not true enough to use.
  4. Add the evidence. Next to each point, write where it comes from: a number, a customer conversation, a report. Points without a source stay, but are marked as assumptions.
  5. Sort and merge together. Read out, place each note, merge duplicates. Move points that landed in the wrong box: inside versus outside is the usual mix-up.
  6. Keep the top three per box. Dot voting works: three dots each, per box. Twelve points you believe in beat forty you skim.
  7. Combine the boxes into actions. Pair the top points across boxes, as described below. This is the step that turns the analysis into a plan.

Write the decision at the top of the board and read it out again before you vote. It is the easiest way to stop a SWOT from turning into a general mood report about the company.

From boxes to actions: the TOWS pairing

Heinz Weihrich described the step most SWOTs skip in 1982 as the TOWS matrix. You do not need the matrix, only its four questions:

PairQuestionExample
Strength and opportunityHow do we use a strength to take an opportunity?Twelve stores in walking reach and a plastic tax from January: start a refill pilot before the tax applies.
Weakness and opportunityWhich weakness stops us from taking an opportunity, and how do we close it?No shelf space, but a city refill campaign: ask the city for a refill point in the town hall instead.
Strength and threatHow does a strength protect us from a threat?Staff know regulars by name: make the refill personal before a discounter makes it cheap.
Weakness and threatWhere do a weakness and a threat meet, and how do we limit the damage?No demand data and a discounter testing refills: measure demand in two stores before spending more.

Each answer is a candidate action or an idea for the backlog. The weakness and threat pairs are often the most valuable: they are where a plan fails, and they make good material for a pre-mortem or for kill criteria.

Where SWOT goes wrong

  • No decision behind it. A SWOT of "the company" lists everything and informs nothing. Tie it to one question.
  • Vague points. "Good team", "market uncertainty". If the point would fit any company, it does not help this one.
  • Opinions dressed as facts. A strength nobody can back up is an assumption. Mark it, and test the important ones, for example with assumption mapping.
  • Stopping at the four boxes. Without the pairing step, the SWOT is a description. The actions are where the value is.
  • Done once, filed forever. Markets move. Rerun it when the decision comes up again, and compare what changed.

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What is a SWOT analysis?

A structured look at a plan or organisation in four boxes: strengths and weaknesses (inside, things you can change) and opportunities and threats (outside, things you can use or prepare for). It is most useful when tied to one decision.

What is the difference between SWOT and TOWS?

SWOT collects the points; TOWS pairs them. TOWS, described by Heinz Weihrich in 1982, asks how strengths can use opportunities, how weaknesses can be overcome, how strengths can counter threats and how to limit damage where weaknesses and threats meet.

How many points should each box have?

Collect as many as people find, then keep the top three per box. A short list of specific, evidenced points leads to better actions than a long list of general ones.

Who should take part?

The people who will make and carry the decision, plus one or two who see the market from outside, such as sales or customer service. Five to eight people work well.

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